Custom Search

US Stocks Trading Dairy

Welcome to my trading dairy! I am totally new to trading, started this blog to jot down my analysis on the US market. Hope these homeworks will accelerate my learning curves in trading and in the long run master the art of trading and trade for a living. DISCLAIMER: This is not an inducement to buy or sell. You should do your own analysis on top of my postings. Copyright © 2006 US Stocks Trading Dairy Blog. All rights reserved.

Saturday, September 30, 2006

How did RIMM & my trade fares?

Research In Motion Ltd. shares surged as much as 20% early Friday after the company issued better-than-expected quarterly results and a bullish forecast on strong demand for its newest BlackBerry products.
RIM (RIMM) (RIM) shares traded as high as $104 on heavy volume after the Canadian pioneer of wireless e-mail devices said late Thursday profit rose 27% and sales rose by more than a third in its fiscal second quarter.

Very excited and happy that my first piece of research turned out to be what I have anticipated. On 28th Sep, I put on a naked call Oct @85 and bought 3 contracts when market opened in US early trading hour. Next morning I quickly read the news and realised RIMM indeed surge up to $101 during late trading hour but closed at $86. This resulted my options trade to experience a roller coaster day and ended up losing $30 instead. I was quite sad that I missed the chance to take profits when it hits the $100 range. An hour ago, I log in to optionsxpress wanted to set contingency on my naked call, but, to my horror suprise, the stock price was at $102.92!!! My profits of my trade was at $3900+ !!!

As I am not good in TA and doesn't what caused the stock to rebound upwards, I decided to run with the profits first and do my analysis later. I wanted to set contigency at $100 level in case the stock continues moving upwards but I don't know how to put on the trade. In the end, I sold to market immediately and mins later the order was executed.

Total Net profit of $3,989.93 =)

It's also a pity that I did not put in CRB trade, if not, I am able to see how the strategy works and how much profits it will bring in.

Overall it's a nice feeling but I have to be sure what have I done correct, what lesson was learned during these 2 days. This weekend I will discuss with my teacher and update again.

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

So excited, this is my first post on my blog! It marks the start of my trading journal and I have to consistently update my thoughts & the research I've done on the companies. For a start, I will select the companies base on their earnings date & do a F.A on them. I will also jot down my "paper trading" which I wish to try on & see if it works and learn from the mistakes.

My selection for today:
Company:Research in Motion Limited ( Nasdaq )
Sector: Computer and Technology
Industry: TELECOMM EQUIP

RESEARCH IN MOTION is a world leader in the mobile communications marketand has a history of developing breakthrough wireless solutions. RIM's portfolio of award-winning products, services and embedded technologies are used by thousands of organizations around the world and include the BlackBerry wireless platform, the RIM Wireless Handheld product line, software development tools, radio-modems and software/hardware licensing agreements.

Last Earnings: 06/29/2006
Last Quater profit: $0.68
Next Earnings: 09/28/2006

Last quater when earnings announced, stock price gap up from $66 to $71.45. 70% ofRIM's revenues come from Blackberry devices and With the growing demands of this devicefrom coporations, Telco, IT industry, analyst has positive anticipation the growth of company will continue a upward trend.

With 9 analyst recommend strong buy and consider sell price @ $96.50, I anticipate when earnings released on 28th Sep 2006, the price might continue to move upwards.

Lowest 30 day Historical low at 30, historical highest at 70. Violatilty is at 45 now which i consider it either average or slightly towards low end. I feel like putting on a paper trade on naked call & call ratio backspread.

1) Naked Call
Current Stock Price:87.06
ITM Oct Call Option: SP $85 @ 5.20OTM
Oct Call Option: SP $90 @ 2.75
Entry reason: Anticipate the earnings results would be good & the price movements will go upwards to hit $90 level.

2) Call Ratio Backspread
Entry reason: Based on market growing opportunity, anticipate there will be a sharp rise with increasingvolatility within the next few months in US bull market. Going by the rules of CRB, I select Jan 2007 call options.

Short lower strike price & long higher strike price.

Short ITM Oct Call Option: SP $85 @ 9.30
Long OTM Oct Call Option: SP $90 @ 6.70
Calculated Lower Breakeven at $80.90, Higher breakeven at $99.10. Gosh! Maximum loss $910.00!

Would I put on this trade at all?